Rural areas have a higher job loss risk due to Covid-19

Fresh analysis from the RSA, based on the latest furloughing data from the ONS and the jobs profile for each local authority, gives a new, up-to-date, robust and localised insight into which areas of Great Britain are set to be most and least affected by economic insecurity

Coastal and rural areas dominate the top 20 areas which are affected with large hospitality and tourism sectors a key contributor to an increased risk factor.

TOP TWENTY: AREAS MOST AT RISK

Local authority 

Total number of jobs at risk 

Percent of jobs at risk 

Region 

Richmondshire 

5,965 

35% 

Yorkshire and the Humber 

Eden 

7,989 

34% 

North West 

East Lindsey 

14,509 

34% 

East Midlands 

South Lakeland 

17,424 

33% 

North West 

Derbyshire Dales 

10,350 

33% 

East Midlands 

Scarborough 

14,458 

33% 

Yorkshire and the Humber 

West Devon 

5,226 

32% 

South West  

Ryedale 

7,699 

32% 

Yorkshire and the Humber 

Argyll and Bute 

10,074 

32% 

Scotland 

Cornwall 

66,878 

31% 

South West  

Pembrokeshire 

13,313 

31% 

Wales 

Cotswold 

13,526 

31% 

South West 

South Hams 

11,436 

31% 

South West 

North Norfolk 

10,063 

31% 

East of England 

East Devon 

14,716 

31% 

South West 

Isle of Wight 

15,423 

31% 

South East 

Conwy 

12,907 

31% 

Wales 

Staffordshire Moorlands 

8,733 

30% 

West Midlands 

Torbay 

13,856 

30% 

South West  

Torridge 

5,676 

30% 

South West 

(Data in the table above produced and published by the RSA)

Areas with the highest proportion of jobs in the knowledge economy are least at risk. These are heavily concentrated in Oxbridge, London, and the capital's commuter belt. But even in these areas, around one-in-five jobs is rated ‘high-risk’ based on the furloughing data.

To tackle this, the RSA calls for a new ‘social contract’ – the agreement of rights and responsibilities between the state, employers and employees – with a focus on universal economic security and reskilling.

Alan Lockey, head of the RSA Future Work Centre, said:

“No part of the country is likely to be spared a severe recession, but those most dependent on hospitality and tourism will be particularly badly hit, especially rural areas, including many Tory shires.

“The government’s response so far has been robust, but it must avoid going back to ‘business as usual’ – including Universal Credit, sanctions and means-testing – if it’s to avoid the devastating impact of prolonged unemployment on whole swathes of the population.

“Covid-19 only highlights the need for a welfare state which addresses the economic insecurity felt by growing numbers of people in the UK."


- Read the full article produced by the RSA here

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